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Forecasting and creating custom scenarios
Forecasting and creating custom scenarios

This user guide provides step-by-step instructions on how to create custom scenarios and use the forecasting feature within Avarni.

Diana Nguyen avatar
Written by Diana Nguyen
Updated over a week ago

Unlock the full potential of the Avarni platform with its robust forecasting tool. This feature empowers your business to project various emission reduction scenarios by tweaking custom parameters, providing you different possibilities of operational changes within your organization, as well as those of your suppliers.

The goal is to strategically navigate and align operations to come as close as possible to achieving your emission reduction targets.

Content:


View graphs

You will be able to view the graph based on the baseline year, the time interval (year or month), view by the type of scope and emission status (confirmed, flagged, pending, excluded).

💡 Tip: Hover over the graph to see a more detailed breakdown of the emissions, such as the year and the total emission.

  • Target Trajectory (green): This is the pathway that you need to follow in order to be aligned with your targets.

  • Scenario 1 (orange): This is based off a custom scenario. You can add multiple scenarios if you wish. If you would like to view/hide specific scenarios, use the toggle feature:


Create a custom scenario

1. Navigate to Forecasting on the left hand menu:

2. Under Custom Scenarios, select Create Scenario +

3. Fill out the applicable fields:

Add Parameter:

  • Type: Select the type. This will change the fields that you will need to complete.

    • Emission Source Change: Allows you to set a percentage on how much the selected emission source will increase or decrease over an amount of time.

    • Vendor Target: Allows you to set a hypothetical emissions reduction target for your one of your suppliers. This parameter allows you to explore how a target set by your supplier would change your organization’s scope 3 emissions over time.

    • Vendor Range Target: Similarly to Vendor Target, however, this option allows you to select a range. For example: Your top 5, 10, 15 suppliers

    • Business Growth: Allows you to visualise how a growth in your business will affect your emissions.

4. Click on Add Parameter+ to add multiple parameters.

5. Click Save.

Once you have saved your scenario, you will see a new line on the main graph.

💡 Tip: If you have multiple scenarios that consists of similar parameters, you may clone existing scenarios to save some time! Avarni will ensure that the colours of the scenarios are different each time.


Monthly breakdown

Here you can view your monthly breakdown of your suppliers and emission factors:

You will be able to adjust the date, scenario and whether it should show by supplier, or emission factor.


Download graph as CSV

To download the graph as a CSV, follow the below steps:

1. On the top right (next to the graph), click on the arrow down button:

2. You will now have all of the data against each scenario (including Target Trajectory) in the downloaded CSV.

💡 Tip: To create the graph in the CSV file, navigate to Insert > Graphs in Excel.

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